


Boom: Trajectory Unknown Challenge
Prize:
$7,000 USD
Entries Received:
35
26 days, 2 hours to award
A startup is looking to contract individuals and teams who use AI and machine learning to predict the aftermath of disruptive events - and this challenge is your pathway in.
Top performers will be offered a paid contract to continue this work directly with the startup , with total compensation exceeding $10,000 USD. The top winner also receives a $7,000 USD cash prize.
They are looking for three things:
Novel and effective methods to predict how heterogeneous materials break apart and move after a disruptive event.
Individuals or teams who can create and train models to work in different real-world situations.
Individuals or teams with an interest in working with the startup to improve current capabilities in predictive modeling.
We are looking for trainable algorithms that predict material fragmentation and displacement resulting from a single point disruption. The ideal algorithm would improve the ability to locate materials of different sizes after a disruptive event. Examples of these types of events include asteroid collisions, building collapse, volcanoes, or landslides.
If you are currently modeling physics-driven events using AI/ML, we invite you to participate in this Challenge.
To enter the Boom Challenge, you will need to describe your team and your physics-driven AI/ML algorithm, train your algorithm to make predictions on fragment distribution in a simulated scenario. For additional points, create an inverse design where you propose impact parameters, then upload your final submission and a video describing your algorithm.
Complete a
Upload your algorithm and prediction data to GitHub.
Record your video submission
Share your GitHub repository with challenges@freelancer.com
Complete your submission form.
Upload your entry on the Challenge Website, the entry should include:
For complete information, see the Submission Requirements on the Guidelines page.
For the Challenge, we have created an imaginary stellar system called Mox-95. Like all planets, the planets within Mox-95 are subject to asteroid impacts. When asteroids strike planetary surfaces, they generate massive ejecta blankets – debris fields of fragmented rock that spray outward from the impact site. Understanding the size distribution of the debris fragments and how far they travel is critical for interpreting ancient craters and predicting hazards from future impacts – on the planets within Mox-95 as well as our own planet.
The Mox-95 stellar system experiences unusual gravitational disturbances that slightly alter the impact dynamics compared to Earth. However, the underlying physics remains self-consistent and intuitive, and many physical principles from our own solar system still apply.
The Challenge has two parts:
Forward Prediction - predict the ejecta outcomes based on defined impact parameters.
Inverse Design - propose impact parameters that would meet given constraints on ejecta outcomes.
A Training Dataset has been compiled, made up of thousands of simulated asteroid impact events in Mox-95. The dataset includes both the impact parameters (as input) and the resulting ejecta outcomes (as output). Use this dataset to train your AI/ML algorithm to predict ejecta outcomes given impact scenarios. Once your algorithm is trained, run the Test Dataset through your algorithm to generate the ejecta output data. The Test Dataset contains out-of-distribution impact scenarios (though the physics remains the same) to test your model’s generalizability. Note: Physics informed methods are strongly encouraged.
Based on what you and your model learned from the first part of the challenge, propose 20 impact scenarios that will result in ejecta outcomes satisfying the following constraints:
P80 in the range [96, 101]
R95 <= 175
Included in the repository is a configuration file describing these outcome constraints and a set of input bounds. The parameters of your proposed impact scenarios should lie within the input bounds.
Since asteroid impacts are stochastic, a given impact scenario produces a distribution of possible ejecta outcomes rather than a single result. Each of your scenarios will be evaluated by its average ejecta outcome.
In addition, each scenario that satisfies the constraints will receive a “small-impact score” calculated from the impact energy and the average R95 outcome. The lower the energy and ejecta range, the higher the small-impact score. See “Scoring Metrics” in the Guidelines tab for more information.
The data repository contains all the information needed to complete the challenge. You can access the repository here:
The repository contains:
Please submit your questions in the challenge Clarification Board or submit them via
avi, flv, mov, mp4, mpeg, mpg, pdf

What is Winner announcement date?

Could you please provide an update on the status of the entries, and let me know when we might expect to hear back from you?

I am interested

I have carefully reviewed the Boom: Trajectory Unknown Challenge dataset and understand both the forward prediction and inverse design tasks in detail. The problem involves learning physics-informed relationships between impact parameters and ejecta outcomes, including complex nonlinear dependencies across variables such as energy, coupling, material properties, and environmental conditions. I am confident in building a robust machine learning solution using a combination of physics-informed models and data-driven approaches to accurately predict ejecta distributions and generalize well to out-of-distribution test scenarios. Additionally, I can design an optimization-based inverse model to generate impact scenarios that satisfy the required constraints (P80 and R95) while maximizing performance under the scoring metrics. I am fully prepared to develop, train, and deliver a high-quality solution for both components of this challenge.

Excited to see the final results! This challenge pushed participants to combine machine learning, physics modeling, and generalization on out-of-distribution scenarios. Best of luck to all contestants.

Will we see finalist?

Contest Holder
·
Dear participants, We would like to thank everyone who joined the Boom Challenge! The submission window is now closed and we are in the evaluation stage of the project. For all who missed, we encourage you to follow our announcements on our social media. We are looking forward to your participation! Follow us: https://www.linkedin.com/company/freelancer-com/ https://www.facebook.com/fansoffreelancer https://x.com/freelancer https://www.instagram.com/freelancerofficial

90 entry kindly check

Hi, I refined the submission further after your rating and improved a few details for better usability/presentation. I’m available this week if you’d like any quick adjustments or final export variations.

Is it possible to extend the submission date? Can we still submit until a winner is decided?
1
Mar 5, 2026
Challenge Launch (PST)
2
May 6, 2026, 6:59 AM
Submission Deadline (PST)
3
Jun 2026
Winner Announced

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