Probability equations derived from statistical analysis needed

Closed Posted 5 years ago Paid on delivery
Closed Paid on delivery

Summary

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We need to understand the probability of a contestant type winning an event based upon a statistical analysis of past results.

Contestant Types

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In any 1 event there are up to a maximum of 7 contestant types: A, B, C, D, E, F and G

Not all contestant types may feature in a single event

Event Type

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Events can have from 5 to 24 contestants

There is only a single winner for an event

Events may contain multiples of contestant types

Example Events

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A,A,A,B,B,B,C,D - Winner A

G,G,G,G,G,G - Winner G

A,B,B,A,F,F,F,F,E,E,E,E,E,E,G - Winner G

A,A,A,A,A,A,A,B,B,B,B,B,B,B,E,E,E,E,E - Winner A

Example Problem

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Given past results what is the likelihood of A winning from the following event:

A,B,B,B,B,D,D,D,D,D,F,F,F,F,F

Algorithm Mathematics Statistical Analysis Statistics

Project ID: #18084781

About the project

8 proposals Remote project Active 5 years ago

8 freelancers are bidding on average $157 for this job

eldadshericks

Hi there, I am an expert statistician and would gladly accept your offer for this probability task. My professionalism is unmatched and thus you should expect nothing but the best. Please consider me, regards.

$155 AUD in 3 days
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5.9
MichealSMoreno

Dear client. I've read your project description carefully and very interested. Let's discuss over chat and get started. Waiting your reply. Best regards.

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Jesicasimson90

Hey, I have gone through the project description and I can handle your task very well. You can check my profile, I am an experienced freelancer with more than 300 positive reviews from my clients living across the g More

$155 AUD in 3 days
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bc150402784

I have some experience as a writer, having written and successfully sold over articles. I am an exceptional researcher. It’s a skill I use that allows me to write about a myriad of subjects with authority and ease. More

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nnrom

I am a qualified mathematician. I know how to solve the task. Bayes' theorem and a method similar to Bayesian inference should be used. Detailed data analysis should be done. I can complete the task in three days.

$155 AUD in 3 days
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jseroje

I am an actuary for more than 7 years and I have also completed the Society of Actuaries Exam on Probability. I believe I can do this project.

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amine9191

3 days

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